Instrument II · Pre-Commitment Canvas

Pre-Commitment Canvas

Complete this before committing capital, hiring, or making any irreversible decision.

When to use this: Before raising your seed round. Before leaving your academic or corporate position. Before hiring your first employee. Before signing any partnership agreement. This instrument takes 2–3 hours if completed honestly. The cost of skipping it can be 3 years of your life and several hundred thousand euros.

01Technology FoundationTRL Assessment
02Problem ValidationLayer 1 · CRL 1–2

"We help [specific company type] to [concrete outcome], without [current pain], so that [Layer 3 motivation]."

03Innovation Friction ProfileFor your primary target segment
μ_humanHuman Resistance — psychology, career risk, loss aversion
1 · Very Low5 · Very High
3
N_legacyLegacy systems — incumbent vendors, infrastructure, regulatory weight
1 · Startup / Greenfield5 · Government / Highly regulated
3
τ_cycleSales cycle — from first contact to signed contract
1 · Weeks5 · 2+ years
3
C_capitalCapital to cash-flow positive — total required
1 · <€500K5 · >€10M
3
Total IF Score (4–20)
12 / 20
Capital sufficiency ratio
Estimate your runway below
04TRL / CRL Gap AnalysisTechnology vs Commercial Maturity
05The Five Honest QuestionsPre-flight Checklist
Q1
Grandma Test — can a non-technical person repeat your value in 30 seconds without a clarifying question?
If no: μ_human is elevated at every commercial touchpoint. Fix before any customer meeting.
Q2
Does your Beach Head customer have urgent, funded pain today — with confirmed budget authority?
If no: you are at Layer 1 failure. No sales execution overcomes a problem the market does not urgently fund.
Q3
Does your TAM justify the chosen path? (>€1B reachable in 7 years for venture-backed startup)
If smaller: Path A or C may be structurally more appropriate than a venture-backed startup.
Q4
Can a single customer derive full standalone value — no ecosystem dependency?
If no: every additional required party multiplies all four denominator components. Requires ecosystem strategy.
Q5
Does current capital cover the path to CRL 5 (first real revenue) with meaningful buffer?
If no: C_required ÷ C_available approaching 1.0 means the company dies before first revenue regardless of technology quality.
06Beach Head CustomerSignal-Friction Matrix
Pre-Commitment Assessment · IF Instrument II
Priority Actions Before Committing
    Next Instrument

    Once you have committed and are operating — use Instrument III (Quarterly Report Card) every quarter to track your layer elimination progress and maintain investor alignment.